Seattle at Tampa Bay

A pair of aces are on the hill today in Tampa Bay. Seattle has Felix Hernandez (7-1, 2.19 ERA) going against a light-hitting Tampa Bay team. He's off a 4-hit, 1-run win over the Blue Jays where he also fanned eight. Over the last three years he has a 1.47 ERA against Tampa Bay in 30+ innings, allowing 17 hits while walking five and striking out 43. Seattle is 21-6-2 UNDER the total when Hernandez is a favorite, plus 11-3 UNDER when he starts on the road. You may think this is a low baseball total, but when Hernandez pitches with a 6.5 total or lower the UNDER is 20-5-1. Tampa Bay has an ace going too, in Chris Archer (2.40 ERA). Archer has allowed two earned runs or fewer in his last three starts, with 20 strikeouts in that span. Tampa Bay is 6-2-1 UNDER the total when Archer starts, and 35-15-3 UNDER after the Rays score five runs or more in their previous game. Both offenses are in the bottom 10 in scoring in baseball and when they meet the UNDER is 6-2, including 42-14-2 UNDER the total when they clash in Tampa Bay. Take this one to stay UNDER.