Seattle at Houston

Don't look now, but the Seattle Mariners are eight games over .500 and certainly look to be a playoffs contender heading to the break. The Ms have produced 23 runs in their last two games. But, let's not lose sight of the fact that Seattle has produced 3 runs or fewer in 41 games on the season. What has made them a contender is not their offense, it has been their pitching, which has allowed 3 runs or fewer 47 times this season, trailing just Oakland in the AL by one, as the A's have turned the trick 48 times. Houston has failed to produce more than 3 runs 44 times on the season, including 11 of their last 16. The Ms seem to have the ability here to make that one more, as pitching has been their forte, and the Astros are not producing right now. Chris Young is 7-3 with a nifty 3.15 ERA and unbeaten vs. Houston, and should hold the struggling Astros down. Brad Peacock is just 2-4, but has not lost a game since May 12th, and simply keeps Houston in the game, only to lose late. The Mariners have taken charge as a favorite from -110 to -150 where they are a sturdy and profitable 40-19 in their last 59, and have executed on the road at 20-8 in their last 28. Houston is an ugly 42-128 in their last 170 games vs. a winning team. Seattle owns a 7-0-1 mark to the UNDER in Young's last eight starts on regular four days rest, and are 10-1 to the UNDER in his last 11 starts overall. Houston is 5-0 to the UNDER in their last five after scoring 2 or fewer in their previous game. Play on Seattle and take the UNDER in this one.