San Francisco at Toronto

San Francisco has done well in league play, and at home in interleague play, but they still have not notched a win in an AL park this season. I don't think that changes tonight. Barry Zito has compiled a very nice record and a solid ERA (3.10) but he's on the road here and the Giants are facing a very hot pitcher in Brandon Morrow. Morrow has a 3.41 home ERA with a 4-1 record. Over his last three starts, his ERA is just 1.35. Toronto has struggled vs. LHP this season, but they have scored a lot at home (5.3 per game) so I think they get enough to get it done here. The Jays are 9-2 this season after a game in which they allowed less than 2 runs. They are also 17-4 as a favorite. I like Toronto here. I also like the UNDER. These two pitchers have been very good and neither offense is a break-out type. Over the past two seasons, the Giants are 33-18 UNDER on the road in expected close games (line of -125 to +125). With Zito on the mound with a total set at 8 or 8.5, San Francisco is 16-4 UNDER the past two seasons. Meanwhile, Toronto is 11-2 UNDER over that span after four straight OVERs. Take the Blue Jays and the UNDER here.