San Francisco at Colorado

Aaron Cook has a 3.93 ERA at home. Jason Schmidt has a solid road ERA but he's 4-7 away from the Bay. He's just 9-17 over the past two seasons in second-half play vs. teams scoring 4.8+ runs per game and Colorado is pounding the ball right now. San Francisco can't seem to win right now as they've lost 4 straight giving up 52 runs over those four games! No that wasn't a typo. The Rockies have won 6 of 8 here at Coors Field vs. SF this year. They are also 10-1 this season off a win over a division opponent in which they scored 10+ runs. Finally, road teams that have allowed 8 runs or more 2 straight games vs. an opponent after a combined score of 15 runs or more 2 straight games are just 17-44 (28%) over the last 5 seasons. I like the Rockies with momentum and lots of offense right now.