San Francisco at Colorado

It's still August but it feels like the September stretch run is here as the Giants and Rockies battle in a series that will likely have playoff implications. The Giants send ace Tim Lincecum and his 12-3 record to the mound. The betting public loves this guy and as such, we get value here on the Rockies. Let's not forget that the Giants are on the road in this game, facing a very good Colorado team. Lincecum is not unbeatable. Two of his three losses have come in his seven road games. And, he's coming off a beating at the hands of the Reds. He's opposed here by Ubaldo Jimenez who has been very impressive in his own right. He's got a 3.41 ERA and is super-hot right now. In his last three starts, he's 3-0 with a 1.19 ERA. So the pitching matchup here is not very lopsided at all. Then we look at offense and that's where we see the lopsidedness of this game. The Giants average 3.8 runs per game on the road while Colorado gets 5.9 per game at home. This season the Rockies have not shriveled when playing good teams. They are 15-4 vs. teams at .540 to .620. I like the Rockies at home here.