San Francisco at Cincinnati

Cincinnati won on a walk-off homer by Phillip Ervin in the 11th inning on Friday night and the Giants fell to 27-36 on the road while losing their third straight game. San Francisco is 4-11 in Madison Bumgarner's last 15 road starts, including six of seven against teams with losing records. The Reds have won five of their last seven home games versus left-handed starters and nine of 13 against southpaw starters overall. Bumgarner has a 1.71 ERA at home and 4.18 on the road where hitters have a .273 batting average against him. Cincinnati has won the last five meetings at home and Matt Harvey comes off a quality start against Arizona as he gave up two runs on five hits in seven innings in a 6-3 win. There is good value in the home underdog, so back the Reds.