San Francisco at Chicago

Don't laugh! The Cubs have a winning record at home. They face Giants ace Matt Cain, but his road ERA is over a full run higher than at home where he's allowed 12 of his 19 homers. The San Francisco offense is in the middle of the pack in runs scored and No. 22 in slugging. Chicago has won 2-of-3 games, cashing as a dog of +145 and +170. The Giants are 7-16 in their last 23 during game 3 of a series and face lefty Travis Wood, a good strikeout pitcher (84 Ks in 114 innings) and he's allowed fewer hits than innings pitched. In fact, he faced the Giants once this season and fanned seven hitters in seven innings and only 1 run, a 1.29 ERA against San Francisco. Umpire Dale Scott is behind the plate today and the home team is 19-7 in Scott's last 26 games behind home plate, as well as 16-5 in Scott's last 21 Sunday games behind home plate, so grab the very live home dog. Play the Cubs.