This pick was released to clients on October 07, 2023 at 8:47AM ET.
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San Francisco at Chicago

October 7, 2016
img9:15 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

This is a good spot for the dog to win or lose by just one run. San Francisco is playing with the house's money, off a winner-take-all road victory at the Mets, 3-0. This group handles postseason pressure better than anyone still standing, having won the World Series in 2010, 2012 and 2014. The Giants have an ace in Johnny Cueto (18-5, 2.79 ERA), who is 4-0 with a 1.91 ERA his last four starts. He is 9-8 with a 3.24 ERA in 24 career starts against the Cubs, including a solid 3.07 ERA at Wrigley Field. The Giants are 23-9 when Cueto starts, plus 19-7 in playoff road games. Think there's any pressure on the Cubs? They rolled in the regular season, but the pressure mounts with so much at stake on a franchise that hasn't won a title since 1908. Stars Kris Bryant (6-for-34) and 1B Anthony Rizzo (6-for-32) struggled in the 2015 postseason. The Cubs are 3-7 in their last 10 playoff home games, so look for the visitors to get the victory or lose by just one run. Play San Francisco on the runline.

1 unit on San Francisco +1.5 runs -140 (runline) (risk 1 to return 1.71)
Result:
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