San Francisco at Arizona

Arizona's Juan Cruz is 1-3 with an 8.27 ERA at home this season. For his career he is 9-17 with a 4.31 ERA. He's also 4-13 as a favorite in his career and 1-11 as a favorite of -125 to -175. Why is he favored? The Giants own a 7-4 mark vs. the D-Backs this season include 5-3 here in Arizona. Momentum also favores San Fran. Arizona has only won one of their last five games. After dropping 4 of 5 games this season they are 4-14 in that sixth game. Jamey Wright has looked weak of late which is why we see Arizona favored here. But, in a duel of two weak pitchers, I'll fade the team that is losing right now and has a worse bullpen to back up the starters.