San Diego at St. Louis

We've cashed easily and big with the Cards in the first two games of this series and we're going big on them again here in the final game. Baseball is often about streaks and St. Louis has won seven of their last eight games. Eleven days ago they were trailing the Cubs in the NL Central but now the Cardinals own a 4.5 game lead! St. Louis has won 12 of the last 16 vs. San Diego including nine of ten games here at home the past three seasons. Kyle Lohse is 5-3 at home with a 2.81 ERA this season. The righty should give San Diego fits as the Padres are averaging just 3.8 runs per game this season vs. RHP. Over the past three seasons, the Cardinals are 20-4 at home against NL teams batting .250 or worse (San Diego's batting just .242 on the season). San Diego defines road futility. Over the past couple of seasons, San Diego is just 37-81 as a road underdog. This season they are 14-34 after 2+ straight road games and 10-28 on the road coming off a loss. I like the Cardinals a lot here.