The Pads have won seven of eight games and send Jake Peavy to the mound in an important game. Peavy has an average overall ERA but has pitched very well lately. He's got a 2.66 ERA over his last three starts and a 2.87 ERA in six August starts. Matt Cain goes for San Fran and he's also been pitching very well. Both of these teams have playoff hopes and this series will play a major role in the playoff picture. Both of these teams have been winning on defense - not offense. Should be another very low scoring game and in that type of game, with roughly equal starting pitching and hitting, we have to look to the bullpen. San Diego's has a 2.92 road ERA and winning record while San Francisco's has a 5.29 home ERA and .500 record. San Diego performs well against weak offenses (12-3 this year on the road vs. teams with OBP of .325 or worse). And, they do well in close matchups (23-16 on the road at +125 to -125). I like Peavy and this bullpen at even money.