San Diego at Philadelphia

The surface of this game certainly gives mass appeal to the Padres. After all the Phillies are a brutally bad team in the minds of most, but hold on, they are not the same team that started the season 29-62. Since July 17th, the Phillies have a 22-16 record and have transformed from an offense that was scoring 3.4 runs per game to one that has scored 4.9 runs a game over their last 38 contests. That has enabled them to go from a team being out-scored 5.1 to 3.4, to one that out-scores their opponents 4.9 to 4.8. There are some deep hidden numbers in this game, and getting the Phillies at home as a dog here is the valued side. Play on Philadelphia.