This pick was released to clients on May 10, 2024 at 12:15PM ET.
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San Diego at Minnesota

May 10, 2023
img7:40 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

San Diego is a long way from home playing its second straight road game. The offense is 23rd in runs scored, plus 16th in on-base percentage and slugging. Seth Lugo starts with an ERA that is a full run higher on the road (3.71 ERA) than at home. The Padres have lost his last two road starts, 5-2 at the Cubs and 9-0 at Arizona. San Diego is 12-24 after a five-game stretch where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better, plus they've lost six of eight interleague games against a righty starter. Minnesota plays the second of a six-game homestand winning six of the last nine at home. The Twins are 15-6 after three or more straight losses. Pablo Lopez (3.77 ERA) has been a bit of a stopper with the Twins winning eight in a row when he starts after three or more consecutive defeats. And Minnesota is on a 13-5 run versus San Diego, including 6-2 in this park. Play Minnesota.

1 unit on Minnesota -123 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.81)
Result:
WIN
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