San Diego at Milwaukee

The Milwaukee Brewers have been the big surprise to open the 2014 MLB season, and come into this contest with the best record in baseball. They have done it off the mound as the Brewers rank second overall in team ERA, and their pen is getting it done as their bullpen ERA ranks #5 best. San Diego has not improved upon a bad offense from a year ago, as they rank #27 of 30 teams with a team batting average of just .228. Pitching has dominated the first two games in this series with just a total of 10 runs scored. San Diego is in a doubly good spot on the UNDER as the Padres are 20-5-2 to the UNDER in their last 27 after their opponent scores 2 or fewer in their previous game, and 20-5 to the UNDER when they scored 2 or less. The Brewers 34-15-2 to the UNDER in their last 51 games overall. Go with the UNDER in this one.