San Diego at Miami

The numbers speak for themselves in this one. Jake Peavy just wins games and almost always keeps the Padres in the game. Since his final road start in 2006, the Padres stand 14-0 to the -1.5 runline in games they win with him on the hill on the road. We will gladly take the "dog" value with a pitcher that is capable of not only winning on the road, but winning big. Ricky Nolasco has been struggling to a %+ ERA, but that has been his history as a major leaguer. His biggest problem is not being able to get LH hitters out at key times, as he has an 8.31 ERA against them. We ike the Pads in this one.