Josh Johnson has pitched to a 3.35 ERA at home this season, delivering 73 KOs to just 18 walks and 4 home runs. The Padres have struggled all season vs. RHP (3.7 runs per game). They are also just 15-20 in day games, getting only 3.6 runs per contest. Miami's offense isn't a whole lot better, but they hit lefties well and should have success vs. Clayton Richard who is just 3-7 on the road this season. Richard has had nearly no success this season when facing week offenses. The Pads are just 1-11 this season when facing NL teams with an OBP of .325 or worse so I am not concerned about Miami's offensive weaknesses here. Since last season, the Marlins are 74-52 vs. lefties. Take Miami here.
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