San Diego at Boston

San Diego is a long way from home playing the third of a three-game trek. You don't want to all free passes in a small park like Fenway but starter Matt Waldron has allowed 19 walks in 50+ innings on the road. The Padres are 4-5 in his nine road starts and the bullpen is 17th in ERA (4.01) and 16th in WHIP. The team has also lost four straight Sunday get-away games and is 7-0 UNDER the total when Waldron starts as an underdog. Boston is on a 13-8 run and plays its fourth straight at Fenway Park. The bullpen is eighth in the majors in ERA (3.52) and 10th in WHIP. Starter Josh Winckowski (3.26 ERA) has allowed 3 runs in his last 13+ innings at home. The Red Sox are on a 25-20-3 run UNDER the total, so back home field in a defensive duel. Play Boston + UNDER the total.