San Diego is a long way from home playing the third of a three-game trek. You don't want to all free passes in a small park like Fenway but starter Matt Waldron has allowed 19 walks in 50+ innings on the road. The Padres are 4-5 in his nine road starts and the bullpen is 17th in ERA (4.01) and 16th in WHIP. The team has also lost four straight Sunday get-away games and is 7-0 UNDER the total when Waldron starts as an underdog. Boston is on a 13-8 run and plays its fourth straight at Fenway Park. The bullpen is eighth in the majors in ERA (3.52) and 10th in WHIP. Starter Josh Winckowski (3.26 ERA) has allowed 3 runs in his last 13+ innings at home. The Red Sox are on a 25-20-3 run UNDER the total, so back home field in a defensive duel. Play Boston + UNDER the total.
This pick was released to clients on June 30, 2024 at 11:55AM ET.
San Diego at Boston
June 30, 2024
1 unit on Boston -106 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.94)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 10.5 -115 (risk 1.5 to return 2.8)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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