This pick was released to clients on February 05, 2013 at 2:47PM ET.
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Pittsburgh at St. Louis

September 1, 2006
img8:10 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Pirates come off a three game sweep of the Cubs at home. They put up 11, 7 and 10 runs. Well, tonight's going to look a little different. They go on the road to face the Cardinals and Chris Carpenter. Carpenter is 12-6 on the season witha 2.96 ERA. At home it's 1.66. Pittsburgh has the absolute worst road record in the Majors (17-48). When you are looking up Milwaukee, Tampa Bay and Kansas City in any statistic, that's bad. Carpenter is 8-1 with a 2.40 ERA vs. the Pirates and he's 23-4 the past two seasons vs. weak teams that are outscored by 0.5+ runs per game. Pittsburgh is 1-14 this year on the road vs. good bullpens (1.350 or better WHIP). Zach Duke goes for Pittsburgh and with him starting, the Pirates are 1-13 on teh road and 0-11 as a road underdog. Big line but too much going for St. Louis to ignore here.

2 units on Saint Louis -236 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 2.85)
Result:
WIN
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