Pittsburgh at St. Louis

Zach Duke proved he has the stuff to be a top level big league pitcher in his rookie year when he went 8-2 with a 1.81 ERA. Is this the year it all comes together for him? He is off a solid spring and nothing like a clean slate to start a season from. The Cards will start Todd Wellemeyer, who did well last year, but his upside compared to Duke is not very favorable and Wellemeyer has not been very good closing out a series where the Cards are just 1-6 in his last seven in that situation. I'll take the Pirates to grab this one.