Pittsburgh at Seattle

Pittsburgh has been playing rather well, and had no trouble dispatching the Mariners last night in an easy 9-4 win. The runs won't come as easy tonight, as they do battle with the M's ace - Felix Hernandez. Hernandez was roughed up his last time out, allowing 6 earned runs, and many may think he is ready to go into a slump, as he has pitched very well overall. The fact is that Hernandez has a lifetime ERA of 3.18. However, after allowing 6 or more runs in his previous start, which has occurred 20 times now in his career, he has come back with an ERA of 2.64 following the disaster. That means he is plugged in and has out pitched his career numbers by over a half a run. That is significant, and with Pittsburgh owning a dismal 16-53 mark in their last 69 interleague road games, there's only one way to go here, so play on Seattle.