This pick was released to clients on May 28, 2024 at 12:09PM ET.
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Pittsburgh at San Diego

May 28, 2015
img10:10 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The San Diego Padres and the Pittsburgh Pirates are a pair of contending teams that got off to a rocky start, but have now found their way. The Pirates come in on a season long six game winning streak, while San Diego has now won three of four. The Pirates have caught lightning in a bottle with 38-year-old A.J. Burnett, who is 4-1 and leads MLB with a 1.38 ERA. Those numbers are going to adjust themselves as they are unsustainable. Ian Kennedy is just getting back into form after a miserable start and a hamstring injury that put him on the shelf for two weeks. He is off a strong game vs. the hard-hitting Dodgers' attack, and appears to have found a groove. Burnett has a poor track record vs. San Diego at 3-7 in 11 starts and a 4.23 ERA. Kennedy has the better numbers in this matchup at 3.66 in eight starts vs. the Pirates, and the Padres are also playing at home. The Pirates own a 21-9-1 record to the UNDER in Burnett's last 31 starts vs. a losing team, and sustaining offense has been problematic for the team as well, as they are now 18-6-2 to the UNDER in their last 26 after scoring 5+ runs in their previous contest. The Padres share the same dilemma as they are 8-1 to the UNDER behind Kennedy after scoring 5+ in their previous game. Burnett is not a fan of opening a series as the Pirates are just 3-14 in his last 17 in game one of a series. Play San Diego and the UNDER.

1 unit on San Diego +114 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 2.14)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 6.5 +110 (risk 1.5 to return 3.15)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
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R
Pittsburgh Pirates img
3
1
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1
0
4
0
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11
San Diego Padres
0
0
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2
2
1
0
0
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5
consensus consensus
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