It hasn't been a good road trip for Pittsburgh's pitching staff, allowing 29 runs the last four games (three losses). Pirates starter Ivan Nova (4.17 ERA) has a losing record on the season and is much worse away from home, with a 5.43 ERA. Batters are hitting .284 off him on the road. Milwaukee is an easy home run park and he faces a hot Brewers offense that has scored 80 runs the last 15 contests. Milwaukee is on a 13-5 run OVER the total at home, as well as 20-8 OVER against losing teams. Milwaukee starter Zach Davies (4.75 ERA) has had a shaky campaign and sports a 6.49 ERA in seven career games versus Pittsburgh. Milwaukee won 7-4 yesterday, the fifth straight meeting that these teams have gone OVER the total, and this one keeps that streak going. Play the OVER.
This pick was released to clients on September 15, 2023 at 12:29PM ET.
MLB
Pittsburgh at Milwaukee
September 15, 2018
7:10 PM Eastern
1 unit on Game Total OVER 8.5 +100 (risk 1 to return 2)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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