Pittsburgh at Milwaukee

Milwaukee improved to 26-18 at home with a 3-1 victory over the Pirates on Saturday as Eric Thames tripled and homered for the Brewers, who have won six of the last seven meetings. Zach Davies gets the start today, and he owns a 7-2 record and a 3.34 ERA overall, plus he's 5-0 in day games. Davies is 2-0 against Pittsburgh this year while allowing five runs in 13 innings. Milwaukee is 20-7 in Davies' last 27 home starts against teams with losing records, and the Brewers have won four of his last five home starts. The Pirates are 4-10 their last 14 road games versus right-handed starters. Steven Brault has a 4.25 ERA and .291 opponent batting average on the road. The Pirates are also 31-77 the last 108 meetings at Miller Park. The UNDER is 11-4 in Zach Davies' last 15 home starts and Milwaukee is 19-6-1 UNDER his last 26 starts overall, and the UNDER is 5-2-1 in Davies' last eight starts versus teams with losing records. Also, the UNDER is 15-5-1 in the Brewers' last 21 games against left-handed starters, and they have stayed UNDER their last four home contests. The last four meetings with the Pirates have gone UNDER, and the UNDER is 6-0 in Davies' last six starts versus the Pirates. Play the Brewers and UNDER.