Pittsburgh at Milwaukee

Again tonight we get to fade the worst road team in the majors (11-40). Pittsburgh starts Ian Snell who has actually found a way to win on the road. And, Milwaukee starts a struggling pitcher in Ben Sheets. But, Sheets is too good to pitch this poorly and no one better to get healthy against than the Pirates who scor under 4 runs per game on the road. Road underdogs of up to +150 after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a terrible team (38% or worse) are just 41-95 (30%) vs. losing teams over the past five years. And, Home teams allowing 5.3 or more runs per game after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 45-17 (73%) over the last 5 seasons. Fade the road Pirates.