Pittsburgh at Miami

Juan Nicasio has been hit hard his last four starts allowing 17 runs (15 earned) and 28 hits in 20 innings. In his last outing, the right-hander didn't last through the fifth inning in a 5-2 loss at Texas when he gave up four runs and seven hits in 4 2/3 innings. Nicasio is 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA on the road this season and he is 1-7 with a 7.55 ERA in the month of June in his career. Wei-Yin Chen threw 90 pitches in only five innings in a 7-2 loss at Atlanta on Saturday. Chen has a 5.35 ERA at home giving up 21 runs and 45 hits in 35 1/3 innings. The Pirates have gone OVER eight of their last 11 against lefties. Play this matchup to soar OVER the total.