Pittsburgh at Colorado

Lots of people are on the Rockies in this one given their big disparity between home and away play. But, we like the Pirates here at this price. Paul Maholm has a winning record and has posted a 4-0 mark with a 2.68 ERA over his last eight starts. The Rockies offense ended the first-half on a terrible note and we just don't see them coming out here and all of a sudden blowing the doors off things - not against Maholm. Yes, Colorado is decent at home, where they score 5.3 runs per game. But, the Pirates' offense is every bit as good, scoring the same 5.3 per game on the road. This season the Rockies are 8-20 vs. teams that average 4.8+ runs per game. They are also 2-12 vs. starting pitchers with an ERA in the 3.5 to 4.2 range.