Pittsburgh at Cincinnati

Pittsburgh has lost three of five, all at home, and begins a road trek. The offense is 19th in runs scored, 27th in on-base percentage, and 28th in slugging with little in the way of manufacturing runs (21st in steals). The bullpen is just 26th in ERA (4.68) and 24th in WHIP. The team is 1-6 in the last seven starts made by Bailey Falter, who has a 4.17 ERA on the road. The Pirates are 9-20 after batting .200 or worse over a five-game stretch, plus 10-23 after scoring four or fewer runs in five straight games. Meanwhile, Cincinnati plays its fourth consecutive home contest. Starter Carson Spiers (3.20 ERA) has a 2.20 ERA at home and the Reds are 60-43 against teams with a bullpen ERA of 4.20 or worse. Play Cincinnati.