Pittsburgh at Cincinnati

Pittsburgh does most of its damage at home, but is close to a .500 team on the road. The Pirates are in a slump, too; on a 3-7 run, and 2-7 in their last nine games vs. a right-handed starter. The Pirates are also 4-10 in Jeff Locke's last 14 road starts. This is not a good Pittsburgh offense, 26th in runs and on-base percentage. The Reds are sizzling at home with a 32-16 record, and have ace Homer Bailey on the mound. He may have a 5-8 record, but his other numbers are dazzling: 30 walks in 122+ innings along with 121 Ks. He loves facing the punchless Pirates, too, with an 8-2 record and a 2.54 ERA against them. The Reds are 7-1 in their last eight home games vs. a left-handed starter, and the Pirates are 2-7 in the last nine meetings in Cincinnati. Play the Reds.