This pick was released to clients on April 13, 2025 at 12:10PM ET.
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Pittsburgh at Cincinnati

April 13, 2025
img1:40 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Pittsburgh has a minus-24 run differential that is second-worst in the NL. They were a last-place team in 2024 and are again, including 2-9 on the road. The offense is 24th in runs scored, 26th in on-base percentage, and last in slugging. Batters are hitting .324 off starter Carmen Mlodzinski (5.19 ERA), who has a 9.82 ERA on the road. The Pirates have lost the first two of this series, 5-3 and 5-2. Cincinnati is on a 5-2 run and plays its third straight at home. Hunter Greene (1.31 ERA) comes off a brilliant outing against the Giants in a 2-0 victory (8+ innings, four hits, one walk). The relief pitching is ranked eighth in ERA (3.38) and fifth in WHIP. Play Cincinnati. 

1 unit on Cincinnati -175 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.57)
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