Pittsburgh has a minus-24 run differential that is second-worst in the NL. They were a last-place team in 2024 and are again, including 2-9 on the road. The offense is 24th in runs scored, 26th in on-base percentage, and last in slugging. Batters are hitting .324 off starter Carmen Mlodzinski (5.19 ERA), who has a 9.82 ERA on the road. The Pirates have lost the first two of this series, 5-3 and 5-2. Cincinnati is on a 5-2 run and plays its third straight at home. Hunter Greene (1.31 ERA) comes off a brilliant outing against the Giants in a 2-0 victory (8+ innings, four hits, one walk). The relief pitching is ranked eighth in ERA (3.38) and fifth in WHIP. Play Cincinnati.
This pick was released to clients on April 13, 2025 at 12:10PM ET.
Pittsburgh at Cincinnati
April 13, 2025
1 unit on Cincinnati -175 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.57)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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