Pittsburgh at Chicago

The Cubbies go for the sweep here. The Pirates have now dropped four of their last six games, and they go with a cold pitcher here in Trevor Williams. He's been tagged to the tune of 16 earned runs in his last three starts in just 17.3 innings. Chicago counters with southpaw Jose Quintana, and the Pirates have really struggled against LHP this season, going 9-13 with just 4.1 runs per game. Chicago is just 18-27 on the road, but they are 31-16 in The Friendly Confines where opposing teams are averaging just 3.7 runs per game. This season, Pittsburgh is just 17-37 vs. NL teams that score 4.5+ runs per game. Over the past three seasons, Chicago is 46-17 in games with a total set at 10 or higher. Go with the Cubs here.