Pittsburgh at Chicago

Chicago has started on the right foot this year, but their lack of offense at home has to be concerning. The Cubs are batting just .221 and scoring 3.5 runs per game at Wrigley. Vance Worley is 27-18 vs. NL teams with an OBP of .315 or worse, and the Cubs fall below that line. If Worley does struggle, the Pirates can lean on a pen that has posted a stellar 1.85 ERA on the road thus far. The Pirates hitters should find success vs. Jason Hammel who has given up 11 runs in three starts. Since last season, Pittsburgh is 71-50 in night games and 25-10 after allowing under 2 runs last game. Over the last three seasons, Chicago is 15-34 at home when the total is set at 7 or less. Take the Pirates here.