Philadelphia at Washington

Philadelphia's Aaron Nola (3.52 ERA) goes in the finale. He's dominated Washington this season with a 0.93 ERA in three starts covering 19+ innings. The Nationals have batted just .169 off him as the Phillies won all three, 4-0, 11-5, and 3-2. Washington's offense is 25th in runs scored, 17th in on-base percentage, and 26th in slugging. Jake Irvin has a 4.54 ERA at home in 2024. He also has a 6.35 against Philadelphia in 17 innings. The Nationals are 3-7 in his last 10 starts, plus 3-9 in 12 home starts. One of those home starts was a 5-2 loss to the Phillies allowing four runs in six innings. Play Philadelphia.