Philadelphia at Washington

The Washington Nationals have to be one of the most unmotivated teams in MLB right now. They were projected to be the team to record the most regular season wins, and here they are not even going to sniff the playoffs. Stephen Strasburg steps onto the mound today for the Nats at just 10-7 on the season with a 3.81 ERA. Phillies starter Aaron Nola has been every bit as good at 6-2 with a 3.84 ERA, pitching behind a team that is 40 games below .500. The Phillies may be the only team with incentive here, trying to avoid a 100-loss season. They are poised for another win based on their dog win last night, and a couple of other factors that have seen teams go 110-122 to an average line of +173, good for an ROI of 22.8%. Washington looked dead last night, and with no revival forecast here, make the play on the road dog Phillies.