This pick was released to clients on October 18, 2023 at 10:28AM ET.
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Philadelphia at San Diego

October 18, 2022
img8:03 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Petco Park will be rocking as San Diego grabs home-field advantage in the NLCS. Yu Darvish will start for the Padres tonight and he has a 7-3 record at home this season with a 2.60 ERA, holding opponents to a .188 average. September was a great month for Darvish as he allowed only eight runs in 39 innings. The Padres also won both his postseason starts against the Mets and Dodgers. Darvish faced the Phillies twice this year and gave up three runs in 13 innings, and the Padres bullpen was spectacular in the NLDS. Zack Wheeler wasn't quite as effective on the road where he had a 3.84 ERA compared to 1.85 at home, and Philadelphia is 6-13 its past 19 road games against teams with winning records. The Padres are 18-3 following an off day. Take the Padres as a Max Play

2 units on San Diego -114 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 3.75)
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