Philadelphia at San Diego

The Phillies stay in games because they have the best starting pitching in baseball. Cole Hamels epitomizes that, as he has allowed 3 runs or less in 22 of his last 27 starts. The problem for the Phillies is that both Howard and Uggla are on the shelf, and as good as the pitching is, the offense is on an equally bad level right now. The Phillies have scored 2 runs or fewer eight times already this season, including each of their last three. Edinson Valquez sure has the stuff to match Hamels inning for inning, and has the advantage, as the Phillies have not seen him since the 2010 season. The Phillies have identical bad situations working against them here as they are 3-7 in their last 10 vs. a team that allowed 2 runs or fewer in their last game, and Hamels shares that same stat at 3-7. The Phillies’ pitching and sluggish offense has them at 23-4 to the UNDER in their last 27 on the road to a total of 6.5 or less, while the Padres are now at 9-2 to the UNDER in their last 11 following a game where they allowed 2 or less. Play on San Diego and the UNDER in this one.