Philadelphia at Pittsburgh

This is an excellent situational and matchup spot for the home team to keep this close. Philadelphia has a mediocre relief staff (3.92 ERA) and a struggling starter in Bailey Falter (5.18 ERA), who has yet to get a win in 33 innings of work. Pittsburgh plays its second straight home game after an 8-7 loss yesterday as a +170 dog, and the Pirates are 17-9 at home after allowing eight or more runs. Starter Jose Quintana has a 2.65 ERA at home this season, and he has a 3.38 ERA all-time versus the Phillies. The wagering value is on the home team to win the game or lose by one run. Play Pittsburgh on the runline.