Philadelphia at New York

Philadelphia's pitching is 12th in the majors in ERA (4.04) and seventh in the bullpen (3.60 ERA). Starter Matt Strahm (3.32 ERA) has excellent stuff holding batters to a .215 average with 106 Ks in 86+ innings. The Phillies are 13-3 UNDER the total against a pitcher who walks 2.75+ batters per start. New York's offense is just 19th in runs scored and on-base percentage, plus 18th in slugging. The Mets are on a 47-29 run UNDER the total at home, as well as 36-19 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10. Starter Jose Butto is holding batters to a .211 average and the Mets are 14-3 UNDER the total after scoring 9 or more runs in the previous contest. Take Philadelphia/New York UNDER the total.