Philadelphia at Milwaukee

Philadelphia is a dominant home team but just 38-34 on the road. They lost the opener of this seven-game trip at Milwaukee, 6-2, as a favorite. They've lost their last three road games as favorites of -110, -128, and -260. Zack Wheeler has gone six innings in six of his last seven starts and the bullpen is 14th in ERA and 15th in WHIP. They've also lost two of his last three road starts. Milwaukee's bullpen is second in ERA (3.18) and third in WHIP, while the offense is fourth in runs scored, fourth in on-base percentage, 12th in slugging, and third in steals. Frankie Montas is holding batters to a .239 average and has a 1.59 ERA against the Phillies this season, a 4-1 victory. The Brewers are 43-29 at home while outscoring opponents by 138 runs on the season, the best differential in all of baseball. Play Milwaukee.