This pick was released to clients on September 08, 2023 at 11:42AM ET.
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Philadelphia at Milwaukee

September 8, 2021
img7:40 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

This is the end of a 10-game road trip for Philadelphia and the streaky Phillies are 7-22 after winning two of three. Starter Kyle Gibson is great at home but has a 4.23 ERA on the road, plus he's 1-2 with a 5.66 ERA in his career against the Brewers. Milwaukee is Top 10 in the majors in runs scored, and #13 in on-base percentage, while the pitching staff is third in team ERA (3.45). The Brewers are 66-40 versus righty starters, and 73-44 against NL teams with an on-base percentage of .325 or worse. Starter Freddy Peralta (2.70 ERA) has had a strong campaign and batters hit just .131 off him at home. Milwaukee is also 17-7 in Peralta's 24 starts this season. Play Milwaukee. 

1.5 units on Milwaukee -154 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 2.47)
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