Philadelphia at Milwaukee

Philadelphia lost last night by a run giving them just their second loss in fifteen games. And, they shouldn't have lost as an error allowed Milwaukee to score the winning run in the ninth inning. So we have a team on a very hot streak as an underdog here. And our dog has the hotter pitcher (Gavin Floyd has a 2.04 ERA his last three starts vs. 4.05 for Dave Bush). Bush is just 3-13 as a starter in expected close games with a moneyline between -125 and +125 over the past two seasons. And Philadelphia has teh better bullpen. Philly is also 11-5 vs. Milwaukee the past three seasons. It all adds up to great value on the dog.