Philadelphia at Milwaukee

Philadelphia is 151-128 on the road against an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season. Phillies' starter Jeremy Hellickson is throwing well, posting a 3.20 ERA and striking out 19 with four walks over his last four starts. He is 15-11 when playing against a team with a winning record, as well as 2-1 with a 2.74 ERA in four career starts against Milwaukee. Milwaukee is likely without slugger Ryan Braun (left calf injury). Starter Matt Garza is off a strong game, but is 10-26 after giving up no earned runs his last outing, making this a great spot for the big dog. Play Philadelphia.