Philadelphia at Milwaukee

Milwukee with a sweep win here would be the first team to get to 40 home victories. There is no team better at home than the Brew Crew. They have won seven straight over Philly here. Jeff Suppan has been average on the road but very good at home posting a 5-2 mark and he's off a gem vs. the Mets. Adam Eaton has been good if not great and the Phillies are a losing team on the road. Milwaukee has a distinct bullpen advantage in this one (3.59 home ERA vs. 4.50 road ERA for Philadelphia). In what appears to be a pretty even matchup, we need to give the nod to the team that just finds ways to win at home. The Brewers are especially potent at home vs. teams like the Phils that aren't defensive stalwarts, as they are 14-2 this season vs. NL teams that allow 4.8 runs per game. Throw in the fact that Philly is 12-26 this season as an underdog of +100 to +150 and we have a play on the home club.