Philadelphia at Miami

This is the seventh straight road game for Philadelphia of a 10-game trek. They've looked a bit road weary dropping four of six, and the Phillies are 4-10 on the road against a team with a losing home record. Philadelphia ranks #29 in baseball in runs scored, dead last in on-base percentage. Miami is home and on an 11-2 run. The Phillies are 2-10 against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and face Marlins' lefty Justin Nicolino (2-0, 2.70 ERA). He allowed four runs and 11 hits over 14+ innings in two starts against the Phillies in 2015. Miami's offense is far superior, sixth in the league in on-base percentage, so back the home dog. Play Miami.