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Philadelphia at Los Angeles

August 8, 2011
img10:10 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Phillies’ pitching has spoken for itself as they held the Giants to 6 runs in their four-game series and despite that, they managed to lose a game. The bottom line is if you’re going to beat this team, you had better bring an ace to the hill, and the Dodgers have that answer in Huroki Kuroda. Kuroda comes in with a 2.96 ERA and far away from Roy Halladay in name, but very close to Halladay's 2.55 ERA on the season. Finding bad numbers on Halladay isn't easy, but the Dodgers are 8-2 at home in their last 10 vs. a right-hander, certainly puts their lineup in a competitive spot vs. Halladay, especially when taking them on the +1.5 runline. The blue and white have also gone 9-4 in their last 13 at home. Before you dismiss their chances here, consider that the Dodgers have beaten Lincecum twice, Weaver, Carpenter, Hudson, Jurrgens, Cueto, Oswalt, Jimenez and Stauffer this season, not a bad All-Star lineup of pitchers. It should also be noted that 67% of those top opponents pitchers played UNDER the total. The Phillies are now an amazing 18-3 to the UNDER with a total set at 6.5 or less in their last 21, while the Dodgers are 20-6 to the UNDER in their last 26 vs. a right-hander. Kuroda has pitched four straight UNDERs at home vs. the Phillies as well. I will play on the Dodgers on the runline and I'll also take take the UNDER.

3 units on Game Total UNDER 6 -115 (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
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Philadelphia Phillies img
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Los Angeles Dodgers
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consensus consensus
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