Philadelphia at Detroit

Philadelphia's pitching is No. 1 in the majors in ERA (3.07), including seventh in the pen (3.43 ERA). They beat Detroit yesterday, 8-1, and are fourth in runs scored, second in on-base percentage, and fourth in slugging. Batters are hitting just .191 off starter Ranger Suarez (1.75 ERA) with the team 13-2 in his starts. The Phillies are 46-19 as a favorite of -110 or higher, plus 35-14 in night games. The Tigers have a losing home mark on a 5-12 run overall. Detroit's offense is just 20th in runs scored, 26th in on-base percentage, and 20th in slugging. They've lost the last two starts made by Tarik Skubal, who has allowed 13 hits and nine runs in 10+ innings. The Tigers are 19-41 at home against teams with a bullpen ERA of 3.45 or better and 6-19 versus teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5 or more runs per contest. Take Philadelphia.