Philadelphia's pitching is No. 1 in the majors in ERA (3.09), including seventh in the pen (3.43 ERA). Batters are hitting just .215 off starter Aaron Nola (3.54 ERA). The Phillies are 37-23 UNDER the total as a favorite, including 27-13 UNDER as chalk of -150 or higher. They're in first place and are 34-9 as a favorite of -150 or higher, while Nola is 30-9 as chalk. The Tigers have a losing home mark and are on a 5-11 run overall. Detroit is also on a 7-2 run UNDER the total with an offense that is 20th in runs scored, 26th in on-base percentage, and 19th in slugging. Detroit is a good pitcher's park and starter Casey Mize has a 3.26 ERA at home. But they're 6-18 against teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game. Take Philadelphia + UNDER the total as a Max Play.
This pick was released to clients on June 24, 2024 at 12:21PM ET.
Philadelphia at Detroit
June 24, 2024
1.5 units on Philadelphia -167 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 2.4)
Result:
WIN
WIN
2 units on Game Total UNDER 8.5 -115 (risk 2 to return 3.74)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING
Get my free MLB picks and predictions.
Join 417,710 Subscribers!