Philadelphia at Cincinnati

Cole Hamels has nothing but good memories of pitching in Cincinnati. He made his major league debut here back in '06 and pitched five innings for 0 runs, one hit while striking out seven hitters. He came back last year and tossed a complete game gem: five hits and 15 punch-outs. His Cincinnati tally is now 14 innings, six hits and 22ks for a slim 0.71 ERA. The Reds really struggled against LHP last season and consequently, they saw a lot of them. While they played just about .500 against RHP, they were just 25-40 against southpaws. The Reds were just 12-22 in Arroyo's starts last season and the Reds were even worse with Arroyo on the mound facing a LHP where they finished with just a 3-7 record. Hamels has a very positive mindset to call on pitching here, and the Reds have done nothing with him and struggle big time against LHP, and win just 35% of the time with Arroyo on the hill. We'll back the Phillies on the road here.