Philadelphia at Chicago

These high totals at Wrigley are about the wind, but let's not forget the fundamentals here. Vance Worley goes for Philly and he's 4-1 on the season thanks to a 2.15 ERA. In his last three starts, he has allowed just 10 hits and 2 runs, good for a 0.93 ERA. Opposing him is Ryan Dempster who also owns a winning record. Over his last three starts, he's posted a 1.71 ERA. And this total is at 11.5? It must be due to great offenses, right? Nope. Both teams average around 4.0 runs per game. The Cubs are 7-1-1 UNDER in their last nine games as a home dog and they are 8-3-1 UNDER in their last eleven at Wrigley including 5-1 UNDER when the total has been set at 11 or higher. Take the UNDER here.