Philadelphia at Chicago

Sure Philadelphia starts a rookie here but Cole Hamels has won four of his last five games. Over that span he's put up a 1.83 ERA. Facing him is Carlos Zambrano who is 13-5 but he's just over .500 at home and he doesn't get the kind of run support that Philadelphia provides. The Phillies score 5.2 per game on the road and they're averaging 6.1 over their last seven starts. Backing up Hamels is a bullpen with a 3.47 road ERA (contrasted with Chicago's 4.96 home ERA). Chicago scores just 4.3 runs per game at home, 4.1 vs. lefties like Hamels and they are managing just 3.0 per game over their last seven games. Phillies here.