This pick was released to clients on September 18, 2015 at 9:45AM ET.
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Philadelphia at Atlanta

September 18, 2015
img7:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Atlanta is home where it plays its best baseball, while Philadelphia is a terrible road team. The Braves have outscored Philadelphia in 16 meetings this season. Philadelphia's offense is awful at #27 in runs scored and #29 in on-base percentage. The Phillies go with lefty Adam Morgan (5-6, 4.60 ERA), who has lost his first two starts of September, giving up 10 runs on 15 hits in 11 1/3 innings in falling to the Red Sox and Cubs. Atlanta has seen him twice already with Morgan 0-2 against them with a 4.50 ERA. For the season, Morgan is 2-4 on the road with a 4.84 ERA. The Phillies are on a 26-57 road run, plus 7-19 against a right-handed starter. They face righty Williams Perez, who is throwing better in September, going 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA in three outings. He beat the Phillies on September 7 in Philadelphia and the Phillies are 1-4 in the last five meetings in Atlanta. Back the home team Braves.

1 unit on Atlanta -106 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.94)
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